UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

Today's and tomorrow's UEFA Europa Conference League matches, with the most likely outcome and correct score.

Tomorrow

• Aarhus - SC Braga18:45
• FC Midtjylland - Ajax18:45
• FC Thun - Heart Of Midlothian18:45
• FK Crvena Zvezda - Inter Club d'Escaldes18:45
• KuPS - Gent18:45
• Lincoln Red Imps FC - HNK Hajduk Split18:45
• Mjallby AIF - Borac Banja Luka18:45
• Trabzonspor - SC Freiburg18:45
• FC Copenhagen - FC Iberia 199921:00
• FC Lugano - Kauno Žalgiris21:00
• Getafe - Brighton21:00
• Monaco - FC Nordsjaelland21:00
• Panathinaikos - CSKA Sofia21:00
• Riga - FK Jablonec21:00
• St. Truiden - Brann21:00
• Twente - Pafos21:00

How this prediction is worked out

The prediction starts from the betting market odds, turned into expected goals for each team. A Dixon-Coles model gives the probability of every score, then of every outcome: home win, draw or away win. The score shown is the most likely one within the predicted outcome. These are probabilities, not certainties.