Serie A (Italy) predictions

Today's and tomorrow's Serie A matches, with the most likely outcome and correct score.

Today

• AC Milan - Bologna18:30
• Parma - Udinese18:30
• Venezia - Inter18:30
• Genoa - Juventus20:45
• Monza - Napoli20:45

Tomorrow

• Frosinone - Lecce18:30
• Fiorentina - Atalanta20:45

How this prediction is worked out

The prediction starts from the betting market odds, turned into expected goals for each team. A Dixon-Coles model gives the probability of every score, then of every outcome: home win, draw or away win. The score shown is the most likely one within the predicted outcome. These are probabilities, not certainties.