Europa League predictions

Today's and tomorrow's Europa League matches, with the most likely outcome and correct score.

Tomorrow

• AC Milan - Ferencváros TC18:45
• Crystal Palace - TSG Hoffenheim18:45
• NEC Nijmegen - Omonoia FC18:45
• Sparta Prague - Bournemouth18:45

How this prediction is worked out

The prediction starts from the betting market odds, turned into expected goals for each team. A Dixon-Coles model gives the probability of every score, then of every outcome: home win, draw or away win. The score shown is the most likely one within the predicted outcome. These are probabilities, not certainties.